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Home Value Predictions for the Next 5-Years

by Christie Cannon

Home Values: Where Are They Headed in the Next 5 Years? | Keeping Current Matters

Today, many real estate conversations center on housing prices and where they may be headed. That is why we like the Home Price Expectation Survey.

Every quarter, Pulsenomics surveys a nationwide panel of over one hundred economists, real estate experts and investment & market strategists about where prices are headed over the next five years. They then average the projections of all 100+ experts into a single number.

The results of their latest survey

  • Home values will appreciate by 4.1% in 2015.
  • The cumulative appreciation will be 18.1% by 2019.
  • That means the average annual appreciation will be 3.4% over the next 5 years.
  • Even the experts making up the most bearish quartile of the survey still are projecting a cumulative appreciation of 10.5% by 2019.

Have questions about our local market - please feel free to give me a call - Christie Cannon - 469-951-9588

Low Inventory Create Slowdown in Sales

by Christie Cannon

“Lagging Supply” Leads to Slowdown in Sales  | Keeping Current Matters

The National Association of Realtors (NAR) recently released the results of theirExisting Home Sales Report. Despite the fact that properties are selling faster than they have at any other time since July of 2013, existing home sales declined 3.3% from March.

NAR’s Chief Economist Lawrence Yun explained the main reason for the slow:

"April's setback is the result of lagging supply relative to demand and the upward pressure it's putting on prices.”

One major news organization actually used this headline about the decline:

Existing home sales fall 3.3%

They certainly haven’t cratered! April marked the second month in a row that the annual sales pace remained above the five million mark (5.04 million). Year-over-year sales have increased for seven consecutive months and are still 6.1% above a year ago.

Every month, SentriLock, LLC provides NAR Research with data on the number of homes shown to potential buyers. This data is referred to as ‘Foot Traffic’ and is a great predictor of future sales and buyer demand. In April, buyer demand remained at the same level experienced in March.

Why did sales go down?

Buyers who are ready and willing to make a purchase are entering a market where their dream house may not have been listed yet. They can’t find it! Or if they find it, it happens to catch the eye of other buyers and an ‘auction like environment’ begins.

"Housing inventory declined from last year and supply in many markets is very tight, which in turn is leading to bidding wars, faster price growth and properties selling at a quicker pace," says Yun. "To put it in perspective, roughly 40 percent of properties sold last month went at or above asking price, the highest since NAR began tracking this monthly data in December 2012." (emphasis added)

The median home price of existing homes sold in April was $219,400, which is 8.9% higher than last year, and marks the 38th consecutive month of year-over-year price gains.

Bottom Line

So how do you make sense of everything that’s going on in the housing market when there are so many conflicting headlines on the same report?

John Burns, real estate expert and CEO of John Burns Real Estate Consulting gives this advice:

“The bottom line is this: don't make decisions based on newspaper articles. Read the actual press release, including the methodology, and make sure the results jive with other data points and qualitative feedback you receive.”

If you are one of the many homeowners out there realizing that now may be the time to list your home for sale, or one of the many renters debating a purchase, sitting with a local real estate professional who takes the time to find out what’s really going on in the market, should be your first step!

Existing Home Sales Stats for May 2015!

by Christie Cannon

Buyer Demand Exceeds Housing Supply [INFOGRAPHIC] | Keeping Current Matters

Highlights:

  • Inventory Levels remain less than a six month supply - indicated an unbalanced / seller's market
  • For the last 38 straight months the market has seen gain in home prices
  • The average time on market is the lowest since June 2013

EVENT - Frisco's Dive-in Movies (You read that right)

by Christie Cannon

So it may not be real estate related - but that doesn't make it any less awesome!

Frisco's Outdoor Aquatic Center will be sponsoring a DIVE-in movie event in June, July, & August.  Tickets went on sale last week. 

Tickets are $8 per person; children under 2 are free. Buy Tickers here! The Movies currently sheduled are:

Friday, June 19, 2015 - Dolphin Tale 2

Friday, July 17, 2015 - Big Hero 6

Friday, Aug. 17, 2015 - LEGO Movie

Video - Dallas: Bigger than Ever!

by Christie Cannon

The Dallas Convention & Visitors Bureau (Dallas CVB) created & published a wonderful video short on Youtube.com   - just in case you missed it!

- Thanks to Dennis Alcorn with Highland Homes in Lawler Park for bringing this one to my attention!

Rising Interest Rate Predictions

by Christie Cannon

Everyone knows it is coming.... but no one really agrees on exactly when or where they may end up...

Recent surveys on major retail real estate websites already cite rising interest rate fears as buyer number one concern  (with low inventory closely behind).  Below is compiled some of the major real estate institutions predictions for 4th quarter 2014.

1.8 Interest Rate Projections 

An interesting point on these predictions is that the typically rosy prediction from the National Association of Realtors (NAR) is significantly higher than Fannie & Freddie, and more inline with the traditionally conservative Mortgage Bankers Association.  Towards the tale end of last year, NAR actually predicted rates to be closer to 5.4%/5.5%.  

While rates have remained at historically low prices - and yes  we now scoff at our past excitement at refi-ing below 6.5%, - when it comes to a buyer's purchasing power, the relative effect of the interest rate is profound

Affordability in Perspective.... Interest Rates - Then v/s Now

by Christie Cannon

* Provided by Keller Williams International "Vision 2013" Speech

Displaying blog entries 111-117 of 117

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Christie Cannon
Keller Williams Realty
5933 Preston Road #300
Frisco TX 75034
972-215-7747
Fax: 972-215-7748
Keller Williams Frisco - The Christie Cannon Team - http://www.christiecannon.com