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Experts weigh in on low inventory

by Christie Cannon

Keller Williams Frisco -  Housing Supply

The most common questions that I am asked over the last month relate to the continued decline in the inventory of pre-owned houses on the market.  While the last 30-days have seen an increase in supply, we still remain well below historic levels.

Natioanl experts have been weighing in on the lack of supply & the future of inventory in 2016:

Calculated Risk:

“Low inventory is probably holding down sales in many areas.”

Capital Economics:

“A lack of housing inventory continues to drive developments in the market. As demand has slowly recovered, low inventory levels have weighed on home sales.”

Frank Nothaft, Chief Economist for CoreLogic:

“Many markets have experienced a low inventory of homes for sale along with strong buyer demand... These conditions are likely to persist as we enter 2016.”

Doug Duncan,Chief Economist at Fannie Mae:

“Several factors point to constrained housing affordability in 2016, particularly for first-time home buyers, including slow single-family supply response and limited inventory of starter homes on the market.”

Lawrence Yun, Chief Economist at NAR:

“Sparse inventory and affordability issues continue to impede a large pool of buyers’ ability to buy, which is holding back sales.”

While real estate is hyper-local, the national trends support what we have been seeing in our local market.  Buyer demand continues to out-pace supply in many areas & at many prices.  

 - Christie Cannon - KW Frisco

SmartAssets.com's Top 10 Boomtowns in 2015

by Christie Cannon

Once again, Texas (and especially North TX) boasts strong standing in a natioanl "Top 10" list.  

Smartasset.com just published their list of 2015 top 10 Boomtowns, with Texas holding 5 of the top 10 spots!

Holding top honors for Texas, the list finds:

 

  1. Richardson
  2. McKinney
  3. Austin
  4. Frisco
  5. Odessa
The entire list can be found here, as well as their methodology!
 
 - Keller Willams Frisco - Christie Cannon - 469-951-9588
 

Home Value Predictions for the Next 5-Years

by Christie Cannon

Home Values: Where Are They Headed in the Next 5 Years? | Keeping Current Matters

Today, many real estate conversations center on housing prices and where they may be headed. That is why we like the Home Price Expectation Survey.

Every quarter, Pulsenomics surveys a nationwide panel of over one hundred economists, real estate experts and investment & market strategists about where prices are headed over the next five years. They then average the projections of all 100+ experts into a single number.

The results of their latest survey

  • Home values will appreciate by 4.1% in 2015.
  • The cumulative appreciation will be 18.1% by 2019.
  • That means the average annual appreciation will be 3.4% over the next 5 years.
  • Even the experts making up the most bearish quartile of the survey still are projecting a cumulative appreciation of 10.5% by 2019.

Have questions about our local market - please feel free to give me a call - Christie Cannon - 469-951-9588

EVENT - Frisco's Dive-in Movies (You read that right)

by Christie Cannon

So it may not be real estate related - but that doesn't make it any less awesome!

Frisco's Outdoor Aquatic Center will be sponsoring a DIVE-in movie event in June, July, & August.  Tickets went on sale last week. 

Tickets are $8 per person; children under 2 are free. Buy Tickers here! The Movies currently sheduled are:

Friday, June 19, 2015 - Dolphin Tale 2

Friday, July 17, 2015 - Big Hero 6

Friday, Aug. 17, 2015 - LEGO Movie

New Fannie Mae Appraisal Program: Helping or Hurting?

by Christie Cannon

New Fannie Mae Appraisal Program: Helping or Hurting? | Keeping Current Matters

Every home must be sold TWICE! Once to the buyer, and once to the bank appraiser if a mortgage is involved.

The second sale may have just become more difficult.

A new program announced by Fannie Mae may slow down the home-sale closing process by causing more disputes over prices between sellers and buyers.

In a recent Washington Post article they explained the basics of the program:

“Starting Jan. 26, Fannie plans to offer mortgage lenders access to proprietary home valuation databases that they can use to assess the accuracy and risks posed by the reports submitted by appraisers.” 

“The Fannie data will flag possible errors in the appraiser’s work before the lender commits to fund the loan, will score the appraisal for overall risk of inaccuracy and may provide as many as 20 alternative “comps” — properties in the area that have sold recently and are roughly comparable to the house the lender is considering for financing but were not used by the appraiser.”

Using the additional information provided by Fannie Mae, the lender can then ask for an explanation from the appraisal company for any discrepancies and request an amended appraisal.

This added step in the process of determining the price of the home to be bought/sold, could add time to the closing process and cost to the appraisal for the additional work.

Why is this happening?

Fannie Mae wants lenders to make informed decisions when agreeing to the amount of a loan that a buyer will be approved for.

“Excessive valuations create the risk of future losses to lenders and investors if the borrower defaults and the house goes to foreclosure.”

What is the process now?

As a seller:

You’ve put your house on the market, picked an agent who has helped you determine that the best price to list your home for is $250,000, and found a buyer willing to pay that price. The appraiser comes to the home and agrees your home is worth the asking price and writes their report. Everything is working perfectly!

As a buyer:

You’ve found your dream home, in the right neighborhood, in the right school district, with the perfect yard, at the high end of your budget, but all the pluses are worth it. You agree on a price and start daydreaming about living in your new home.

What happens after January 26th?

The lender submits the appraisal report to the new Fannie Mae program and they come back with “lower-risk comps” that value the home at $230,000. The lender then turns to the appraisal company to justify the $20,000 difference, adding time and frustration to the process.

If the lender does not agree with the reasons for the price difference they will not lend the buyer the amount they need to purchase their dream home and the amicable, agreeable sale turns into a heated justification of the higher price. The buyer may even have to give up on the home if the funding isn’t there.

An article by Housing Wire shares the appraiser’s point of view:

“The bottom line, appraisers say, is this could lead to delays to closings and higher costs, as well as a depression of prices in markets where prices are rising.

Appraisers complain that if they have to justify every step of their comps for their valuation, rather than those coming from the one-size-fits-all evaluation from Fannie, it will delay closing, throw off buyer and seller timetables, and delay real estate broker commissions.”

Bottom Line

The fear of some real estate practitioners is that if appraisers feel as though they are constantly being second-guessed, they may become more conservative in their assessments, impacting home values and slowing growth in the market.

Displaying blog entries 121-125 of 125

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Photo of Christie Cannon Real Estate
Christie Cannon
Keller Williams Realty
5933 Preston Road #300
Frisco TX 75034
972-215-7747
Fax: 972-215-7748
Keller Williams Frisco - The Christie Cannon Team - http://www.christiecannon.com