In a recent survey by realtor.com, people thinking about selling their homes indicated they’re generally willing to allow their agent and some potential buyers inside if done under the right conditions. They’re less comfortable, however, hosting an open house. This is understandable, given the health concerns associated with social contact these days. The question is, if you need to sell your house now, what virtual practices should you use to make sure you, your family, and potential buyers stay safe in the process?
In today’s rapidly changing market, it’s more important than ever to make sure you have a digital game plan and an effective online marketing strategy when selling your house. One of the ways your agent can help with this is to make sure your listing photos and virtual tours stand out from the crowd, truly giving buyers a detailed and thorough view of your home.
So, if you’re ready to move forward, virtual practices may help you win big when you’re ready to sell. While abiding by state and local regulations is a top priority, a real estate agent can help make your sale happen. Agents know exactly what today’s buyers need, and how to put the necessary digital steps in place. For example, according to the same survey, when asked to select what technology would be most helpful when deciding on a new home, here’s what today’s homebuyers said, in order of preference:
Virtual tour of the home
Accurate and detailed listing information
Detailed neighborhood information
High-quality listing photos
Agent-led video chat
After leveraging technology, if you have serious buyers who still want to see your house in person, keep in mind that according to the National Association of Realtors (NAR), there are ways to proceed safely. Here are a few of the guidelines, understanding that the top priority should always be to obey state and local restrictions first:
Limit in-person activity
Require guests to wash their hands or use an alcohol-based sanitizer
Remove shoes or cover with booties
Follow CDC guidance on social distancing and wearing face coverings
Getting comfortable with your agent – a true trusted advisor – taking these steps under the new safety standards might be your best plan. This is especially important if you’re in a position where you need to sell your house sooner rather than later.
Nate Johnson, CMO at realtor.com ® notes:
"As real estate agents and consumers seek out ways to safely complete these transactions, we believe that technology will become an even more imperative part of how we search for, buy and sell homes moving forward."
It sounds like some of these new practices might be here to stay.
Bottom Line
In a new era of life, things are shifting quickly, and virtual strategies for sellers may be a great option. Opening your doors up to digital approaches may be game-changing when it comes to selling your house. Let’s connect so you have a trusted real estate professional to help you safely and effectively navigate through all that’s new when it comes to making your next move.
With over 90% of Americans now under a shelter-in-place order, many experts are warning that the American economy is heading toward a recession, if it’s not in one already. What does that mean to the residential real estate market?
“A recession is a significant decline in economic activity spread across the economy, lasting more than a few months, normally visible in real GDP, real income, employment, industrial production, and wholesale-retail sales.”
COVID-19 hit the pause button on the American economy in the middle of March. Goldman Sachs, JP Morgan, and Morgan Stanley are all calling for a deep dive in the economy in the second quarter of this year. Though we may not yet be in a recession by the technical definition of the word today, most believe history will show we were in one from April to June.
Does that mean we’re headed for another housing crash?
Many fear a recession will mean a repeat of the housing crash that occurred during the Great Recession of 2006-2008. The past, however, shows us that most recessions do not adversely impact home values. Doug Brien, CEO of Mynd Property Management,explains:
“With the exception of two recessions, the Great Recession from 2007-2009, & the Gulf War recession from 1990-1991, no other recessions have impacted the U.S. housing market, according to Freddie Mac Home Price Index data collected from 1975 to 2018.”
CoreLogic, in a second study of the last five recessions, found the same. Here’s a graph of their findings:
What are the experts saying this time?
This is what three economic leaders are saying about the housing connection to this recession:
“The housing sector enters this recession underbuilt rather than overbuilt…That means as the economy rebounds - which it will at some stage - housing is set to help lead the way out.”
“Last time housing led the recession…This time it’s poised to bring us out. This is the Great Recession for leisure, hospitality, trade and transportation in that this recession will feel as bad as the Great Recession did to housing.”
John Burns, founder of John Burns Consulting, also revealed that his firm’s research concluded that recessions caused by a pandemic usually do not significantly impact home values:
“Historical analysis showed us that pandemics are usually V-shaped (sharp recessions that recover quickly enough to provide little damage to home prices).”
Bottom Line
If we’re not in a recession yet, we’re about to be in one. This time, however, housing will be the sector that leads the economic recovery.
Texas’ biggest markets — including Dallas-Fort Worth — are among the metro areas least likely to see a major housing market shakeout from the pandemic.
Housing markets that will be most negatively affected by the COVID-19 infections and resulting economic recession are mostly in the Northeast and Florida, according to a new report by analysts at Attom Data Solutions.
Researchers looked at almost 500 home markets around the country and rated them based on foreclosures, homeowner equity, wages and other factors.
“It’s too early to tell how much effect the coronavirus fallout will have on different housing markets around the country. But the impact is likely to be significant from region to region and county to county,” Attom Data’s Todd Teta said in the just-released report. “What we’ve done is spotlight areas that appear to be more or less at risk based on several important factors.
“From that analysis, it looks like the Northeast is more at risk than other areas,” he said. “As we head into the spring homebuying season, the next few months will reveal how severe the impact will be.”
Attom Data estimates the major housing markets most at risk from the virus include four in New Jersey and the New York area, three in Connecticut and 10 from Florida. Only one was in California, and none were located in other West Coast states.
“Texas has 10 of the 50 least vulnerable counties from among the 483 included in the report, followed by Wisconsin with seven and Colorado with five,” Attom Data analysts said. “The 10 counties in Texas include three in the Dallas-Fort Worth metro area (Dallas, Collin and Tarrant counties).
Harris County in the Houston area and Travis County in the Austin area were also ranked low for coronavirus-related housing shakeouts.
The pandemic and shelter-in-place orders are already affecting North Texas’ housing markets because there are fewer home shoppers in the market at a time of year when home sales typically boom.
And the Dallas-Fort Worth area was one of the few major metros in the country that saw a decline in the median list prices of homes listed for sale in March — they were down 3% from a year ago, according to Realtor.com
Dr. James Gaines, chief economist with the Real Estate Center at Texas A&M University, said he’s seen forecasts that predict Texas’ home markets will fare better coming out of the pandemic. But he’s wary of making any predictions.
“Obviously, the New York market will be collapsed and the tourist areas,” Gaines said. “Beyond that, we simply flat don’t know.
“The hit of the virus here in Texas so far has been considered light compared to other areas of the country.”
Gaines said it will be several months before sales and pricing numbers show where the Texas home markets land.
“I’ve seen some preliminary March numbers that indicate that we have had a slowdown but not a collapse,” he said. “But going forward, it’s going to look really bad year-over-year.
“March, April, May, June and July are usually our hot housing months.”
Steve Brown, Real Estate Editor. Steve covers commercial and residential real estate in Dallas-Fort Worth.
Article Provided By: Steve Brown at Dallas Morning News
In times of uncertainty, one of the best things we can do to ease our fears is to educate ourselves with research, facts, and data. Digging into past experiences by reviewing historical trends and understanding the peaks and valleys of what’s come before us is one of the many ways we can confidently evaluate any situation. With concerns of a global recession on everyone’s minds today, it’s important to take an objective look at what has transpired over the years and how the housing market has successfully weathered these storms.
1. The Market Today Is Vastly Different from 2008
We all remember 2008. This is not 2008. Today’s market conditions are far from the time when housing was a key factor that triggered a recession. From easy-to-access mortgages to skyrocketing home price appreciation, a surplus of inventory, excessive equity-tapping, and more – we’re not where we were 12 years ago. None of those factors are in play today. Rest assured, housing is not a catalyst that could spiral us back to that time or place.
According to Danielle Hale, Chief Economist at Realtor.com, if there is a recession:
"It will be different than the Great Recession. Things unraveled pretty quickly, and then the recovery was pretty slow. I would expect this to be milder. There's no dysfunction in the banking system, we don't have many households who are overleveraged with their mortgage payments and are potentially in trouble."
In addition, the Goldman Sachs GDP Forecast released this week indicates that although there is no growth anticipated immediately, gains are forecasted heading into the second half of this year and getting even stronger in early 2021.Both of these expert sources indicate this is a momentary event in time, not a collapse of the financial industry. It is a drop that will rebound quickly, a stark difference to the crash of 2008 that failed to get back to a sense of normal for almost four years. Although it poses plenty of near-term financial challenges, a potential recession this year is not a repeat of the long-term housing market crash we remember all too well.
2. A Recession Does Not Equal a Housing Crisis
Next, take a look at the past five recessions in U.S. history. Home values actually appreciated in three of them. It is true that they sank by almost 20% during the last recession, but as we’ve identified above, 2008 presented different circumstances. In the four previous recessions, home values depreciated only once (by less than 2%). In the other three, residential real estate values increased by 3.5%, 6.1%, and 6.6% (see below):
3. We Can Be Confident About What We Know
Concerns about the global impact COVID-19 will have on the economy are real. And they’re scary, as the health and wellness of our friends, families, and loved ones are high on everyone’s emotional radar.
“Several economists made clear that the extent of the economic wreckage will depend on factors such as how long the virus lasts, whether governments will loosen fiscal policy enough and can markets avoid freezing up.”
That said, we can be confident that, while we don’t know the exact impact the virus will have on the housing market, we do know that housing isn’t the driver.
The reasons we move – marriage, children, job changes, retirement, etc. – are steadfast parts of life. As noted in a recent piece in the New York Times, “Everyone needs someplace to live.” That won’t change.
Bottom Line
Concerns about a recession are real, but housing isn’t the driver. If you have questions about what it means for your family’s homebuying or selling plans, let’s connect to discuss your needs.
Innovation Hub Called 'Silicon Valley of Golf' Ready to Tee Off in Texas
PGA of America Focuses on Golf Innovation
Fields is a master-planned, mixed-use development adjacent to the PGA of America proposed headquarters in Frisco, Texas. (The Karahan Cos.)
By Candace Carlisle
CoStar News
February 14, 2020 | 2:08 P.M.
When PGA of America's Chief Operating Officer Darrell Crall and other top executives of the golf industry group began touring the country in search of fertile ground for creating innovation for the sport, they didn't expect to find it on a former cattle ranch.
But, as Crall and his team navigated the Texas Blackland Prairie ground dodging cow pies, they found a raw piece of land with enough room to build a new corporate headquarters with two championship golf courses, as well as a convention center hotel and resort. That helped them make the decision to relocate their longtime headquarters from Palm Beach Gardens, Florida, a city known for its golf courses and gated communities, for the wide, open spaces of Frisco, Texas, about 27 miles north of downtown Dallas.
PGA of America, a 104-year-old group with nearly 29,000 members, has resided in Palm Beach Gardens for 60 years. Frisco lured the headquarters from the Florida city, and beat out other cities such as Atlanta, Phoenix and Charlotte, North Carolina, by offering more than $160 million of economic incentives from various entities.
About 600 acres are being transformed into the "Silicon Valley of Golf," or a hub of innovation for the golf industry, said Seth Waugh, CEO of the PGA of America. The moniker is a tip of the golf cap to Silicon Valley in the San Francisco Bay Area, which has some of the most expensive real estate in the country and is home to tech giants such as Google, Facebook and Apple, and tech-innovation minds centered on Palo Alto's Stanford University.
The PGA of America's campus in Frisco is aimed at becoming, like Silicon Valley, a magnet for luring golf companies and services or executive golf enthusiasts wanting to be near the action. A 100,000-square-foot building for PGA of America's corporate headquarters is expected to be completed in 2022.
The two planned championship golf courses will be open to the public, the first one expected to start in 2023, and the PGA already has more than two dozen championship tournaments scheduled to be held in Frisco in the next decade.
"We want to be a hub for innovation," Crall said in an interview. "We want to build a place where ideas come to live, not to die. We are an organization rich with traditions and the only way to achieve our mission is to evolve with an entrepreneurial mindset, not just inside and under the umbrella of golf, but we want to invest in companies that have a golf app."
He declined to disclose the names of the companies the PGA of America is looking to add to its campus leader board, citing non-disclosure agreements.
With the innovation hub, the PGA of America hopes to bring more diversity to golf, a sport heavily weighted to white males, while building an affinity for the game with a younger population with the help of partnerships with Frisco Independent School District and the University of North Texas System.
More Golfers Sought
Golf participation in the United States increased incrementally in 2018 for the first time after declining year-over-year for 14 years, according to the latest golf industry report conducted by the National Golf Foundation, an advocacy group for the sport. The foundation estimated 24.2 million people played golf on a course in 2018, which increased slightly from 23.8 million people in the previous year, according to the foundation's study. Participation is well below the all-time high set in 2003 of more than 30 million golfers, but advocates say it remains relevant to millions of people.
Meanwhile, Frisco has boomed from 37,714 residents in 2010 to 155,363 residents in 2018, according to U.S. Census Bureau data. With the proposed developments in the city, including those of the PGA of America, the city doesn't show any signs of slowing.
The addition of the PGA of America and the creation of the golf innovation hub builds on the brand of the city being "Sports City U.S.A.," said Mayor Jeff Cheney, with the world headquarters and practice facility of the Dallas Cowboys; the corporate home and practice facility for the NHL team, Dallas Stars; the corporate headquarters and 20,500-seat stadium for FC Dallas, the Major League Soccer team; and the corporate headquarters and 10,316-seat ballpark for the Minor League Baseball team, Frisco RoughRiders.
"We don't just have teams and brands, but we have evolved in the business of sports by bringing startups and businesses to Frisco," Cheney said in an interview. "Like The Star in Frisco, which is home to the Dallas Cowboys, we want to create a halo effect with other brands wanting to attach their names to the Cowboys, which have led to some of the highest lease rates in all of Dallas-Fort Worth" for office space.
"With the PGA, it doesn't just play out on a national stage, but it has international recognition," he added. "Every tract of land next to the PGA is in active design and negotiations with various entities to have a direct attachment to the PGA and the golf courses. This part of Frisco is going to develop 15 years faster. It will develop seemingly overnight."
Omni Stillwater Woods, the developer of the PGA of America project, bought the 600 acres for $455 million last year from Hunt Realty Investments. The company is a joint venture led by the Omni Hotels & Resorts with Dallas-based Stillwater Capital and Dallas-based Woods Capital. Plans include a 500-room Omni resort with private villas and a 127,000-square-foot conference center.
When Chris Kleinert, CEO and president of Hunt Realty, initially saw the sprawling tract of prairie land called the Bert Fields estate, totaling more than 2,700 acres in Frisco four years ago, he and his team passed on buying the land.
The Dallas-based investment firm was primarily in the energy business and his team was selective about its real estate investments, he said. But they changed their mind when the PGA of America and the University of North Texas System began to hone in on the northern part of Frisco.
"Over the course of time, as well as talking about this with our partners, and we ended up closing on the property in August 2018," Kleinert said, adding Hunt and its development team plans to build out "a seamless campus site" to attract Fortune 100 companies and add a variety of housing from high-end homes overlooking the PGA championship golf courses to student housing on the eastern side of the master-planned development near the UNT-Frisco campus.
"There's so much potential for this site," he added. "The opportunities were too great to pass up."
Legacy West
Prior to buying the development tract, Kleinert bounced the idea off his friend Fehmi Karahan, who also happens to be the master developer behind Legacy West, a $3.2 billion mixed-use development in Plano, located just south of Frisco. Legacy West is widely considered by real estate executives as a success as an urban-suburban development and is home of Toyota's new North American campus, as well as major employment centers for JPMorgan Chase, Liberty Mutual Insurance and home to the corporate office of Boeing's new global services division.
Legacy West includes a food hall, as well as restaurants and shops typically found in urbanized cities. The result has created a new central business district in the region outside of downtown Dallas, which has been likened to Tysons Corner, Virginia, a former rural area that transformed into a central business district outside of Washington, D.C.
Karahan, who is president of the Karahan Cos., is working with Hunt Realty to build out the land in Frisco.
"The Legacy area is full without any large acreage available and I wanted to be part of a great master-planned development, which is what Fields will be," Karahan said in an interview. "Our goal is to create the master plan of the development with all the product mixes to attract great companies. This isn't just limited to the PGA-related brands, but we feel we can attract the next big relocation with an impact like Toyota and we are planning the land to accommodate it."
By the end of the month, the Fields development is set to reach a major milestone with land planning and zoning approval from city officials, which can make way for infrastructure work to begin on the raw land to help create nine distinct villages and break up the massive tract into chunks of workable real estate.
Following the addition of infrastructure and building out a roadway system, the development partnership plans to concentrate on building single-family homes overlooking the championship golf courses. But it won't be a homogeneous design.
"The blending of the residential neighborhoods is our goal," Karahan said. "We don't just want to do these gated large communities, but create an environment with all the components from a big lot with a multimillion-dollar home to a three-story townhouse with a beautiful terrace overlooking the golf course."
The development team plans to begin on the western side of the Fields master-planned development on a neighborhood known as The Preserve, followed by moving to the eastern side toward the UNT-Frisco campus. The acreage along the Dallas North Tollway, in the center of Fields, is expected to attract corporate tenants with mid- and high-rise towers.
Even though plans to add a corporate tenant could be in the years ahead, Karahan said there's the ability to add a mid- to high-rise corporate tenant, much like Liberty Mutual Insurance's campus in Plano's Legacy West, in part of Fields in the next few years. A roughly 10-acre tract along the Dallas North Tollway at the corner of Rock Hill Road could be carved out of the Fields' puzzle for the right corporate tenant, he said.
"By having more than 2,000 acres to develop, it gives us a lot of flexibility and the ability to showcase what the whole environment is going to look like," Karahan said. "This is very important to large corporations, they want to know what the neighboring environment looks like and what they can offer their employees. It helps protect their investment."
A Golf Education
The University of North Texas System has recently received approval from the Texas Higher Education Coordinating Board to begin development on its 100-acre campus at the southwest corner of Preston Road and Panther Creek Parkway in Frisco.
This October, construction is expected to begin on the initial phase of the $115 million, 130,000-square-foot education building, called Building 1, at the UNT-Frisco campus, which will sit on land donated as part of a partnership with the city of Frisco. The university system also has the ability to extend its campus on another 50 adjacent acres. At full build-out, the new UNT campus could bring up to 25,000 university students to the city.
The new building is expected to help significantly expand UNT-Frisco, which currently has an enrollment of roughly 1,500 students at Hall Park in about 36,000 square feet of leased space at 2811 Internet Blvd. in Frisco. If the university "does it right," it could have up to 25,000 students enrolled at the Frisco campus, said Wesley Randall, dean of the new Frisco campus.
"The opportunity to grow and to be focused on going back to the main campus to efficiently and agilely bring things that are of value to Frisco and to nimbly move in the ecosystem," Randall said. "We are going bring down the parts that will help enable the Frisco economic engine."
UNT's flagship campus is located in Denton, which is about 25 miles west of Frisco, and has an enrollment nearing 40,000 students. In opening a Frisco campus, Randall said the vision is to bring nanotechnology, sports innovation and other fields of study that would track well with Frisco and the PGA of America's shared vision.
The city of Frisco, development corporations, and the Frisco Independent School District contributed $35 million to helping develop the public golf facilities at the PGA of America-anchored development. The public-private partnership ensures more than 300 Frisco ISD high school golfers will have access to practice at the facility on a weekly basis.
The move echoes one seen years ago from Dallas Cowboys owner Jerry Jones' playbook when the billionaire decided to put the team's corporate headquarters and practice facility in Frisco. The venue anchors a 91-acre mixed-use development called The Star in Frisco, located along the Dallas North Tollway, a few exits from the PGA of America's soon-to-be headquarters and championship golf courses.
The Star includes The Ford Center, a 12,000-seat indoor stadium developed in a public-private partnership with the city of Frisco and Frisco ISD the Cowboys use as an indoor practice facility and allows students to play on the same field as professional players. The deal also gives the city and school district the ability to host other events, trade shows and concerts at the venue.
The allure of these partnerships being tied to the Cowboys or PGA brand, as well as the incoming students from UNT, could bring an important quality to Frisco every employer needs: A pipeline of labor.
"Corporate location decisions are driven primarily around labor," said King White, president of Dallas-based Site Selection Group. "If you are looking to staff a large operation, you want to put yourself in a strategic place to pull employees from multiple angles. The north side of Frisco is pushing out to the edges, but this move has certainly been done in the past with Silicon Valley companies in the 1980s."
Developing the urban-suburban part of the Fields puzzle will be an important piece, as well as a potential corporate magnet, in the years ahead, said White.
Meanwhile, Frisco Mayor Cheney said he expects good things to come out of this public-private partnership with the PGA of America.
"We are growing to grow the game of golf," he added. "This project is going to be a place people will want to be in even if they've never picked up a golf club. We're going to have a whole new generation of golf lovers."