Record Growth...But Not Without Concerns
One of the top financial ratings firms, Fitch Ratings, is blowing the whistle on Texas' hot housing market. Home sale prices in the Dallas-Fort Worth area are at record levels this year and Fitch Ratings warns that Texas home prices are about 11 percent overvalued. A lack of homes available for purchase coupled with North Texas' fast-growing economy has caused residential prices to jump by about 7 percent over the past year.
Economist Jim Gaines with the Real Estate Center at Texas A&M Unversity said he’s looked at Fitch’s new Texas housing report and doesn’t agree with the conclusions. “I’m not buying the overvalued card right now,” Gaines said. “Yes, prices have increased substantially for Texas markets – but only after being essentially flat for almost five years.
Despite its warning about the inflated prices, Fitch's report points out the overall strength of the state's economy. Texas has been leading the country in both job growth and population gains.
Texas home price gains have already cooled from late last year and early in 2014. But the year-over-year gains in residential prices in the Dallas-Fort Worth area is still running about twice the long-term average rate and are higher than nationwide increases.
During the recent recession when many metropolitan areas in California, Nevada and Florida lost 50 percent or more of their home values, Texas prices fell only slightly. And the housing markets in Dallas, Houston, Austin and San Antonio were some of the first in the country to recover. For more information on Fitch's findings click here.
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